UFC 257: McGregor vs Poirier betting odds and prediction

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The biggest fight card of the year featuring former UFC featherweight and lightweight champion Conor McGregor and former interim lightweight champion Dustin Poirier is all set to take place at UFC 257 in Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi.

Conor McGregor will be returning to the Octagon after a year-long layoff. Conor McGregor last fought at UFC 246 back in Jan 2020 against Donald Cerrone.

It was the biggest fight of 2020Conor McGregor brings in tens of millions of dollars in the live gate and that was a big money for the UFC to let go. With no fights available for him, Conor McGregor announced his retirement. However, now that his upcoming fight is set in Abu Dhabi and the public is allowed into the Etihad Stadium, it now makes sense for Conor McGregor to finally make his comeback. and it set the PPV and gate record for the UFC in the year 2020. His fight against Donald Cerrone only lasted 40-seconds and McGregor vowed to fight three-times in 2020.

However, things took a wild turn as the Coronavirus pandemic wreaked havoc on the planet and numerous sports organisation had to cancel live events and even when live sporting events were allowed to take place, the sports organisations weren’t allowed to have spectators in the stadiums and Arena. This delayed the return of Conor McGregor. While UFC events took place at UFC’s Apex facility and Fight Island, the promotion couldn’t let the Irish star fight in an empty Arena.

Dustin Poirier on the other hand is coming off of a unanimous decision win over Dan Hooker last June. Prior to that, he was choked out by Khabib Nurmagomedov at UFC 242 in Abu Dhabi.

Heading into this fight, Conor McGregor (1.33) is the heavy betting favourite over Dustin Poirier (3.30). The pair have previously fought at UFC 178, where the Irishmen knocked out the Louisiana native in the first round.

Let’s compare the fight metrics:

Conor McGregor:

Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 5.43
Significant Striking Accuracy: 49%
Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 4.40
Significant Strike Defence (the % of opponents strikes that did not land): 55%
Average Takedowns Landed per 15 minutes: 0.75
Takedown Accuracy: 62%
Takedown Defense (the % of opponents TD attempts that did not land): 70%
Average Submissions Attempted per 15 minutes: 0.0

Dustin Poirier:

Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 5.57
Significant Striking Accuracy: 50%
Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 4.18
Significant Strike Defence (the % of opponents strikes that did not land): 54%
Average Takedowns Landed per 15 minutes: 1.46
Takedown Accuracy: 35%
Takedown Defense (the % of opponents TD attempts that did not land): 60%
Average Submissions Attempted per 15 minutes: 1.3

Betting Tips:

The MMA India Show brings you another series of “The Prediction”, where, I, Jay Rock, analyse the upcoming fight cards and giving my predictions, analysis, betting tips.

For the last fight card, I didn’t have a great day as I went 5-1 on picks, bringing my overall record to 87-35.

Check out my previous predictions here.

CLICK HERE TO BET ON THIS FIGHT CARD

Lightweight: Conor McGregor (1.33) vs Dustin Poirier (3.30)

Prediction: Conor McGregor beats Dustin Poirier/ Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier goes over 1.5 rounds (1.72)

Lightweight: Michael Chandler (2.10) vs Dan Hooker (1.72)

Prediction: The fight goes the distance (2.10).

Flyweight: Jessica Eye (1.95) vs Joanne Calderwood (1.83)

Prediction: Joanne Calderwood beats Jessica Eye.

Middleweight: Andrew Sanchez (2.10) vs Makhmud Muradov (1.72)

Prediction: The fight goes the distance (1.80).

Strawweight: Amanda Ribas (1.30) vs Marina Rodriguez (3.10)

Prediction: Amanda Ribas defeats Marina Rodriguez.

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