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UFC 300 Predictions and Odds: Pereira, Gaethje and Oliveira – Can They Out Smart the Competition?

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MMA India presents UFC 300 Predictions and Odds. Find Out what the experts think about the fights.
UFC 300 is upon us and all eyes are on one the most stacked Main Card of the year or possibly the last few years. Many biggies including Potan, Oliveira, Arman, Hill and Gaethje are headlining UFC’s ‘biggest ever’ event. The bookmakers are anticipating a bumper event and have given very bullish odds for UFC 300

UFC 300 Predictions and Odds: Pereira (1.77) vs Hill (2.15)

Alex Pereira is a more well rounded striker and a cleaner kickboxer. I expect him to chop down Jamahal Hill’s leg with inside low kicks early on. Hill ruptured his achilles heel eight months ago, and I am not sure it recovers this early. From what I have seen the experts have said that it can easily take upwards of a year to recover. 

From a grappling perspective, Hill is the better grappler, but we have never seen him utilize it during his fight. So I don’t know how much of an advantage that will be. If it even is considering Pereira is training partners with Glover Teixeira. So I am sure Poatan the grappling/Wrestling areas covered already.

Alex Pereira Record:

DATEOPPONENTRES.DECISIONRNDTIMEEVENT
12 Nov, 2023J. ProcházkaWKO/TKO24:08UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira
30 Jul, 2023J. BlachowiczWS Dec35:00UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
9 Apr, 2023I. AdesanyaLKO/TKO24:21UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
13 Nov, 2022I. AdesanyaWKO/TKO52:01UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
3 Jul, 2022S. StricklandWKO/TKO12:36UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier

 

Jamahal Hill Record:

DATEOPPONENTRES.DECISIONRNDTIMEEVENT
22 Jan, 2023G. TeixeiraWU Dec55:00UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
7 Aug, 2022T. SantosWKO/TKO42:31UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
20 Feb, 2022J. WalkerWKO/TKO12:55UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
5 Dec, 2021J. CruteWKO/TKO10:48UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
13 Jun, 2021P. CraigLKO/TKO11:59UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2

 

Co-main: Weili Zhang (1.22) vs Yan Xiaonan (4.70)

For the 1st time we will see a Chinese takeover at the UFC 300 co main bout for the straw weight title. To be honest, Yan has no business fighting Weili Zhang. The only reason this fight was made keeping the lucrative Chinese market in mind. Weili Zhang is a much superior striker. She is also a much superior wrestler. We saw that during the Carla Esparza and Amanda Lemos.

In the cardio department as well, Weili is at an advantage. We saw her ridiculous pace in five rounders.

Weili Zhang record:

DATEOPPONENTRES.DECISIONRNDTIMEEVENT
Aug 20, 2023A. LemosWU Dec55:00UFC 292: Sterling vs. O’Malley
Nov 13, 2022C. EsparzaWSub21:05UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
Jun 12, 2022J. JedrzejczykWKO/TKO22:28UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Procházka
Nov 7, 2021R. NamajunasLS Dec55:00UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
Apr 25, 2021R. NamajunasLKO/TKO11:18UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2

 

Yan Xiaonan Record:

DATEOPPONENTRES.DECISIONRNDTIMEEVENT
May 7, 2023J. AndradeWKO/TKO12:20UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Oct 2, 2022M. DernWM Dec55:00UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Mar 6, 2022M. RodriguezLS Dec35:00UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
May 23, 2021C. EsparzaLKO/TKO22:58UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
Nov 8, 2020C. GadelhaWU Dec35:00UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixei

 

Justin Gaethje (1.62) vs Max Holloway (2.41)

Both Justin Gaethje and Max Holloway are excellent strikers. Gaethje, however, has a much more diverse arsenal and he also a naturally stronger puncher. Holloway, meanwhile will rely on his volume. But a good shot from Gaethje could turn the momentum around. 

In the wrestling/grappling department, Gaethje is the superior wrestler, but I don’t think we will see him utilise it, but it’s an option he can fall back on if things don’t go as planned. As far as cardio is concerned, both fighters have terrific cardio, but Holloway doesn’t seem to slow down even after a five round fight. 

I think we may see a stoppage. Max Holloway gets TKO’d for the first time in his career. 

Justin Gaethje Record:

DATEOPPONENTRES.DECISIONRNDTIMEEVENT
30 Jul, 2023D. PoirierWKO/TKO21:00UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
18 Mar, 2023R. FizievWM Dec35:00UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
8 May, 2022C. OliveiraLSub13:22UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
7 Nov, 2021M. ChandlerWU Dec35:00UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
24 Oct, 2020K. NurmagomedovLSub21:34UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje

 

Max Holloway Record:

26 Aug, 2023C. JungWKO/TKO30:23UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
16 Apr, 2023A. AllenWU Dec55:00UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
3 Jul, 2022A. VolkanovskiLU Dec55:00UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
13 Nov, 2021Y. RodriguezWU Dec55:00UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
16 Jan, 2021C. KattarWU Dec55:00UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. 

 

Charles Oliveira (2.80) vs Arman Tsarukyan (1.48)

It’s a classic grappler vs wrestler matchup. The fight could very well end up as a striking battle. Tsarukyan is a better striker than Oliveira and is used to fighting as a defensive boxer. Oliveira tends to be a pressure fighter when striking and there could be moments where he gets caught by Arman. As far as ground game is concerned, it’s undeniable that both these guys are very good on the ground. But I tend to favor a good wrestler over a good grappler in a fight. If the fight does go to the ground, I expect Arman to fend off any submission attempts from Oliveira. 

Charles Oliveira Record: 

11 Jun, 2023B. DariushWKO/TKO14:10UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
22 Oct, 2022I. MakhachevLSub23:16UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
8 May, 2022J. GaethjeWSub13:22UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
12 Dec, 2021D. PoirierWSub31:02UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
16 May, 2021M. ChandlerWKO/TKO20:19UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler

 

Arman Tsarukyan Record:

3 Dec, 2023B. DariushWKO/TKO11:04UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
18 Jun, 2023J. SilvaWKO/TKO33:25UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
18 Dec, 2022D. IsmagulovWU Dec35:00UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
26 Jun, 2022M. GamrotLU Dec55:00UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
27 Feb, 2022J. AlvarezWKO/TKO21:57UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green

 

Don’t Miss: Bo Nickal (1.05) vs Cody Bundrage (13.00)

As per the bookmakers, Nickal’s fight looks fairly one sided so let’s look at what the experts think about these UFC 300 predictions and odds. There’s absolutely no value in a fight like this. I will actively advise people from wagering on this fight. I think Bi Nickal wins this fight, but the value offered isn’t worth the risk. 

There could be some value in Bo Nickal winning the fight in Round 1 at 1.32 on Stake. 

Bo Nickal Record:

Jul 9, 2023V. WoodburnWKO/TKO10:38UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Mar 5, 2023J. PickettWSub12:54UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Sep 28, 2022D. BeardWSub10:52Dana White’s Contender Series: Season 6, Week 10
Aug 10, 2022Z. BorregoWSub11:02Dana White’s Contender Series: Se

 

Cody Bundrage Record:

Dec 3, 2023Z. ReeseWKO/TKO11:49UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Sep 24, 2023J. MalkounWDQ14:15UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Jun 24, 2023S. DumasLU Dec35:00UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Apr 30, 2023R. VieiraLSub21:28UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon

Where to watch

In India, UFC 300 will exclusive air on Sony TV and Sony Liv. The Prelim coverage will start at 3 AM on Sat, 13 April.

Read More: Charles Oliveira calls out Islam Makhachev for ‘looking the other way’ after he wins

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