In the battle of the heavyweights, former UFC heavyweight title challenger Alistair Overeem takes on Augusto Sakai in the main event of UFC Vegas 9 at the Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
In the co-main event, Alonzo Menifield takes on Ovince St-Preux. The pair were scheduled to fight last month, but it got cancelled after St Preux tested positive for COVID-19.
Later in the card, the Brazilain showman Michel Pereira takes on Zelim Imadaev.
The MMA India Show brings you another series of “The Prediction”, where, I, Jay Rock, analyse the upcoming fight cards and giving my predictions, analysis, betting tips and giving you a chance to improve your Verdict score.
For the last fight card, I went 2-2, improving my overall record to 26-8 in the last six cards. Check out my previous predictions here.
What is Verdict?
To explain it easily, Verdict is a comprehensive and entertaining fight picking and scoring platform out there. You can earn ‘experience’ for predicting fights correctly and scoring rounds in real-time. If accurately predicted the match, you will be able to top the leaderboard. See how much you understand the sport and compete with MMA fans around the world.
Now let’s get back to the UFC Vegas 9 card.
Alistair Overeem (1.57) vs Augusto Sakai (2.40)
Heading into this fight, the 40-year old Dutch legend is the betting favourite. Augusto Sakai despite being the younger man by almost a decade and being on a longer winning streak is the underdog.
Betting odds:
Alistair Overeem is 1.57 favourite and it means that if you bet ₹100 on him to win the fight and you will make an overall amount of ₹157 if he wins. On the other hand, Sakai is the underdog in the eyes of the bookies as he is 2.40. It means if you bet ₹100 on Sakai to win, you will make an overall amount of ₹240 if he wins.
You can place the bets for the UFC card here.
Prediction:
Augusto Sakai (15-1-1) will face Alistair Overeem in what can be considered as one of the toughest fight till of his career till date. The No. 8 UFC heavyweight will have a chance to make a big jump in the rankings if he can defeat the fifth-ranked Overeem. 11 of Augusto’s 15 professional wins have come by finish.
The only loss of his career came to Cheick Kongo via split decision. So far in four UFC bouts (4-0), he averages 5.46 significant strikes per minute but absorbs 6.75 significant strikes per minute.
On the other hand, Overeem is coming off of an amazing TKO victory over Walt Harris earlier this year. Even if he won the fight he left too many openings in the fight he got clipped by Harris earlier in the fight and the fight could very well have been stopped, but Harris emptied his tank and ended up getting knocked out in the fight later on.
While Overeem’s chin may be an issue heading into this fight, he is way more skilled fighter than Sakai and has fought better opposition throughout his career and even at 40, he holds a significant advantage over the Brazilian inside the cage. Like always, I wouldn’t be giving my readers a straight money line prediction, instead for this fight, we will be betting props.
I think the best way to make money on this card is to pick overs and under. Mega Pari has an odd of 2.05 for the fight going over 2.5 rounds, which I think has a higher chance of happening than predicting the winner of fight. You also have the chance of doubling your money betting this way.
Jay Rock’s prediciton: The fight goes over 2.5 rounds.
Alonzo Menifield (1.72) vs. Ovince Saint Preux (2.10)
Jay Rock’s Money Line Prediction: Alonzo Menified outright
Michel Pereira (1.83) vs. Zelim Imadaev (1.95)
Jay Rock’s Money Line Prediction: Michel Pereira wins outright
Brian Kelleher (1.44) vs. Kevin Natividad (2.75)
Jay Rock’s Money Line Prediction: Brian Kelleher wins outright
Thiago Moises (1.61) vs. Jalin Turner (2.25)
Jay Rock’s Money Line Prediction: Jalin Turner wins outright
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